{"id":359,"date":"2021-08-17T10:02:38","date_gmt":"2021-08-17T10:02:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/candasmimarlik.com\/kentsel\/?p=359"},"modified":"2021-08-17T13:03:20","modified_gmt":"2021-08-17T13:03:20","slug":"binalarin-depreme-dayanikli-hale-getirilmesi-icin-makul-onerilerimiz","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/candasmimarlik.com\/kentsel\/index.php\/2021\/08\/17\/binalarin-depreme-dayanikli-hale-getirilmesi-icin-makul-onerilerimiz\/","title":{"rendered":"Binalar\u0131n Depreme Dayan\u0131kl\u0131 Hale Getirilmesi \u0130\u00e7in \u00d6nerilerimiz"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

On y\u0131llard\u0131r kontrol d\u0131\u015f\u0131 geli\u015fen ve say\u0131s\u0131\/miktar\u0131 hakk\u0131nda tam olarak bilgi verisi olmayan riskli binalar\u0131n , g\u00fcvenli binalara d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr\u00fclmesi i\u00e7in , s\u00f6ylenmesi- yaz\u0131lmas\u0131 gereken hemen her \u015fey yaz\u0131ld\u0131-s\u00f6ylendi diyebiliriz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ancak, yine de olmas\u0131 gerekenin \u00e7ok gerisinde oldu\u011fumuz bilinmektedir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bunun sebepleri ve \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm \u00f6nerilerimize ili\u015fkin bu yaz\u0131y\u0131 yay\u0131nlamak istedik.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

\u00c7evre ve \u015eehircilik Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131’ n\u0131n son verilerine g\u00f6re ;<\/p>\n\n\n\n

1- T\u00fcrkiye’ de yakla\u015f\u0131k 6.7 Milyon bina riskli bina stat\u00fcs\u00fcndedir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

2- Bu binalar\u0131n 1.5 milyonu acilen y\u0131k\u0131l\u0131p yeniden yap\u0131lmas\u0131 gereken bina<\/p>\n\n\n\n

3- \u00d6zellikle \u0130stanbul’ da 5.9 Milyon konutumuz var, bunun 1.5 milyonu riskli ve 300.000 konutun acilen d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fmesi gerekiyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

4- Bu riskli bina sto\u011fundan yenilenerek d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fen oran olduk\u00e7a d\u00fc\u015f\u00fckt\u00fcr. Ve genellikle binalar y\u0131k\u0131l\u0131p yeniden yap\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r, g\u00fc\u00e7lendirme fazla tercih edilmemektedir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Son y\u0131llarda sel ve orman yang\u0131nlar\u0131nda g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm\u00fcz, dere\/su yataklar\u0131nda yap\u0131lm\u0131\u015f imarla\u015fma ve ormanlar\u0131n ya i\u00e7inde ya hemen yan\u0131nda yap\u0131lm\u0131\u015f binalar\u0131n ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 riskler de b\u00fct\u00fcn bu \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n daha da geni\u015fletilmesini zorunlu tutmaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u015e\u00f6yle makul bir hesaplama yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda riskli bina d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fcn neden yava\u015f geli\u015fti\u011fini de anlam\u0131\u015f olaca\u011f\u0131z.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

1- Kentsel d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm projelerinde y\u00fckleniciye pay \u00e7\u0131karabilmek i\u00e7in mevcut binalardaki konut alanlar\u0131 ort % 20-50 oranda k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclmektedir ve kat malikleri bu nedenle karar vermekte zorlanmaktad\u0131r. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

2- \u00d6zellikle son y\u0131llarda h\u0131zla artan in\u015faat maliyetleri nedeniyle y\u00fckleniciler ya payla\u015f\u0131m oranlar\u0131n\u0131 de\u011fi\u015ftirmek zorunda kalmakta, ya da bina sat\u0131\u015f fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fckseltmektedir. Faizlerin de y\u00fckseldi\u011fi ko\u015fullarda konut sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 d\u00fc\u015fmekte ve s\u00fcrecin s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilirli\u011fi riske girmektedir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

3- Ba\u015fka bir ger\u00e7eklik daha var. Diyelim ki, sadece \u0130stanbul’ daki riskli binalar\u0131 h\u0131zl\u0131 bir \u015fekilde d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcrece\u011fiz. 1.5 milyon konutun yenilenme maliyeti bug\u00fcnk\u00fc fiyatlarla yakla\u015f\u0131k 675 Milyar TL dir. T\u00fcrkiye’ nin y\u0131ll\u0131k konut \u00fcretimi 120.000 adet tir. Bu durumda bu konutlar\u0131n d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fmesi i\u00e7in 1.500.000\/120.000= 12.5 y\u0131la ihtiya\u00e7 vard\u0131r. Elbette , yeni hi\u00e7 bir konut yapmamak \u015fart\u0131yla… Yeni konutlar\u0131n pay\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fczde 40 desek, d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr\u00fclecek binalar i\u00e7in gereken s\u00fcre yakla\u015f\u0131k 20 y\u0131la yay\u0131l\u0131yor. Ve sadece yenileme projeleri i\u00e7in y\u0131ll\u0131k ort 33.75 Milyar TL b\u00fct\u00e7e gerekiyor..<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Soru 1: Bu b\u00fct\u00e7emiz var m\u0131d\u0131r?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Soru 2: Bu kadar zaman\u0131m\u0131z var m\u0131d\u0131r?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Her iki soru i\u00e7in de olumlu cevap veremiyoruz maalesef.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bu sebeplerle bizlerin baz\u0131 makul \u00f6nerileri olacak.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tersten gidelim \u00f6rne\u011fin…<\/p>\n\n\n\n

1- Ne kadar b\u00fct\u00e7e ay\u0131rma g\u00fcc\u00fcm\u00fcz var?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

2- Ne kadar zaman\u0131 hedefliyoruz?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u015e\u00f6yle bir korelasyon yapal\u0131m…<\/p>\n\n\n\n

YIL SAYISI<\/strong><\/td>YILLIK B\u00dcT\u00c7E(M\u0130LYON TL)<\/strong><\/td>KONUT SAYISI<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
5 <\/td>135.000<\/td>300.000<\/td><\/tr>
7<\/td>96.500<\/td>215.000<\/td><\/tr>
10<\/td>67.500<\/td>150.000<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Bu tablodan da g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc gibi;<\/p>\n\n\n\n

1- K\u0131sa vadede d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm i\u00e7in ne b\u00fct\u00e7emiz, ne \u00fcretim g\u00fcc\u00fcm\u00fcz b\u00fct\u00fcn riskli yap\u0131lar\u0131 d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcrmeye yeterli de\u011fildir. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

( \u00dcretim g\u00fcc\u00fc belki zorlanabilir, ama b\u00fct\u00e7e zor)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

2- 10 y\u0131l makul g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor, ama uzun bir s\u00fcredir. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

3- 7 y\u0131l bile uzun say\u0131l\u0131r, ama zorlanabilir hedef gibi..<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Velhas\u0131l, ger\u00e7ek\u00e7i ve makul yakla\u015f\u0131m geli\u015ftireceksek i\u00e7inde bulundu\u011fumuz verilere uygun \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcmler d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmemiz gerekiyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bu durumda;<\/p>\n\n\n\n

1- Acilen y\u0131k\u0131l\u0131p yenilenmesi gereken 300.000 konut h\u0131zla devlet g\u00fcc\u00fc ile yenilenmelidir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

2- Geriye kalan 1.200.000 konutun yenilenme yerine, uygun olanlar\u0131n h\u0131zla g\u00fc\u00e7lendirilmesi gereklidir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bu senaryoya g\u00f6re bakal\u0131m bir de.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/td>300.000 KONUTUN YEN\u0130LENMES\u0130 \u0130\u00c7\u0130N<\/strong><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
YIL SAYISI<\/strong><\/td>YILLIK B\u00dcT\u00c7E(M\u0130LYON TL)<\/strong><\/td>KONUT SAYISI<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
5<\/td>135.000<\/td>300.000<\/td><\/tr>
7<\/td>96.000<\/td>215.000<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n
<\/td>1.200.000 KONUTUN G\u00dc\u00c7LEND\u0130R\u0130LMES\u0130 \u0130\u00c7\u0130N<\/strong><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
YIL SAYISI<\/strong><\/td>YILLIK B\u00dcT\u00c7E(M\u0130LYON TL)<\/strong><\/td>KONUT SAYISI<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
5<\/td>120.000<\/td>1.200.000<\/td><\/tr>
7<\/td>86.000<\/td>1.200.000<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

HER \u0130K\u0130 \u0130\u015e\u0130 B\u0130RL\u0130KTE YAPMAK GEREKECE\u011e\u0130 \u0130\u00c7\u0130N…<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/td>HER \u0130K\u0130 PROJEN\u0130N B\u0130RL\u0130KTE YAPILMASI \u0130\u00c7\u0130N<\/strong><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
YIL SAYISI<\/strong><\/td>YILLIK B\u00dcT\u00c7E(M\u0130LYON TL)<\/strong><\/td>KONUT SAYISI<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
5<\/td>255.000<\/td>1.500.000<\/td><\/tr>
7<\/td>182.000<\/td>1.500.000<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

T\u00fcrkiye GSYH s\u0131n\u0131n 6 Trilyon TL oldu\u011funu hesaplayarak bu b\u00fct\u00e7enin y\u00fczde 4 \u00fc , yani ortalama 240.000 (Milyon TL) ile bu s\u00fcreci y\u00f6netebiliriz. Ayr\u0131ca, kredi mekanizmalar\u0131 ile devlete olacak maliyet daha da d\u00fc\u015fecektir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Her y\u0131l 240.000 (Milyon TL) lik has\u0131lat yapacak olan in\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnden al\u0131nacak kurumlar vergisi, 36.000 ( Milyon TL) b\u00fct\u00e7eye ek gelir. Y\u0131ll\u0131k ortalama Sat\u0131\u015flardan has\u0131lat yapacak y\u00fcklenici 76.000 (Milyon TL) ciro yapacak ve 12.000 ( Milyon TL) civar\u0131nda devlete kurumlar vergisi \u00f6deyecektir. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla devletin kasas\u0131na her y\u0131l, toplam 48.000 (Milyon TL) ek gelir sa\u011flanacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ayr\u0131ca, kat maliklerini ilgilendirebilecek bir detay daha var: Yeni yap\u0131lacak konut in\u015faa s\u00fcresi ortalama 18 ay iken, g\u00fc\u00e7lendirme ortalama 4 ay s\u00fcrmektedir. Bu s\u00fcre fark\u0131 ayn\u0131 zamanda \u00e7evreden kopmama ve maliyet avantaj\u0131 ( kira vb) sa\u011flayacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0130mar yerlerinin uygunsuzlu\u011fundan dolay\u0131 sel, orman yang\u0131n\u0131 gibi riskler alt\u0131ndaki binalar i\u00e7in de benzer projeksiyonlar yap\u0131labilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bu \u00f6nerilerimizin dikkate al\u0131n\u0131p uygulanmas\u0131 halinde hem konut ve ya\u015fam g\u00fcvenli\u011fimizin, hem genel olarak devlet g\u00fcvenli\u011fimizin ve ekonomik,sosyal istikrar\u0131n s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir olaca\u011f\u0131na inan\u0131yoruz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Biz CANDA\u015e M\u0130MARLIK \u0130N\u015eAAT LTD \u015eT\u0130 ne ba\u011fl\u0131 CANDA\u015e KENTSEL D\u00d6N\u00dc\u015e\u00dcM ekibi olarak binalar\u0131n\u0131z\u0131n yenilenme veya g\u00fc\u00e7lendirme i\u015fleriyle ilgili sizlere yard\u0131mc\u0131 olmaya haz\u0131r\u0131z.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bizimle irtibat kurmak i\u00e7in a\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki ileti\u015fim bilgilerimizden bizleri arayarak g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fme sa\u011flayabilirsiniz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sayg\u0131lar\u0131m\u0131zla<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Mimar Mehmet \u015eahin CANDA\u015e<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

CANDA\u015e M\u0130MARLIK \u0130N\u015eAAT LTD \u015eT\u0130<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00c7engelk\u00f6y Mah Ordu Cad No: 1\/ B \u00dcsk\u00fcdar- \u0130STANBUL<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tel ve Whatsapp 0 216 422 44 02 Fax: 0 216 422 44 06 <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

E Mail: kentseldonusum@candasmimarlik.com veya info@candasmimarlik.com <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

On y\u0131llard\u0131r kontrol d\u0131\u015f\u0131 geli\u015fen ve say\u0131s\u0131\/miktar\u0131 hakk\u0131nda tam olarak bilgi verisi olmayan riskli binalar\u0131n , g\u00fcvenli binalara d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr\u00fclmesi i\u00e7in […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":366,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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